The economic value of volatility timing with realized jumps

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Do Jumps Matter? Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility Allowing for Common Jumps * Do Jumps Matter? Forecasting Multivariate Realized Volatility Allowing for Common Jumps *

Realized volatility of stock returns is often decomposed into two distinct components that are attributed to continuous price variation and jumps. This paper proposes a tobit multivariate factor model for the jumps coupled with a standard multivariate factor model for the continuous sample path to jointly forecast volatility in three Chinese Mainland stocks. Out of sample forecast analysis show...

متن کامل

Estimating jumps in volatility using realized-range measures

We introduce a generalization of the Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model for estimating the presence of jumps in volatility, using the realizedrange measure as a volatility proxy. By focusing on a set of 36 NYSE stocks, we show that there is a positive probability of jumps in volatility.

متن کامل

The Role of Implied Volatility in Forecasting Future Realized Volatility and Jumps in Foreign Exchange, Stock, and Bond Markets

We study the forecasting of future realized volatility in the foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets from variables in the information set, including implied volatility backed out from option prices. Realized volatility is separated into its continuous and jump components, and the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model is applied with implied volatility as an additional forecasting variabl...

متن کامل

Modeling Gold Volatility: Realized GARCH Approach

F orecasting the volatility of a financial asset has wide implications in finance. Conditional variance extracted from the GARCH framework could be a suitable proxy of financial asset volatility. Option pricing, portfolio optimization, and risk management are examples of implications of conditional variance forecasting. One of the most recent methods of volatility forecasting is Real...

متن کامل

Asymmetric Realized Volatility Risk

In this paper, we document that realized variation measures constructed from high-frequency returns reveal a large degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even though returns standardized by ex post quadratic variation measures are nearly Gaussian, this unpredict...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Empirical Finance

سال: 2015

ISSN: 0927-5398

DOI: 10.1016/j.jempfin.2015.03.019